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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 314 AM CDT SUN OCT 22 2006 .DISCUSSION... COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE MS RIVER AT THIS TIME. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE ORIENTED DIRECTLY ACROSS THE MID STATE AROUND 12Z. ON RADAR...JUST A FEW SHOWERS ARE LOCATED ACROSS THE PLATEAU WITH NO ACTIVITY INDICATED WESTWARD TO THE FRONT. POST FRONTAL CLOUDINESS IS INDICATED BACK ACROSS MO AND NW AR BUT LITTLE IF ANY PRECIP IS INDICATED. TODAY...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH OF TN. THUS...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL STAY TO OUR NORTH ALTHOUGH A MOSTLY CLOUD AND COOL DAY IS IN STORE. SHOULD SEE NEARLY STEADY TEMPERATURES IN 55 TO 60 DEGREE RANGE IN MOST AREAS THOUGH THE DAY. THIS EVENING SKIES WILL CLEAR AND TEMPS WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S BY SUNRISE MONDAY. PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE EXPECTED FOR MONDAY BUT THE ETA AND GFS SOLUTIONS BOTH INDICATE GOOD THERMAL TROUGHING WITH 850 MB TEMPS CLOSE TO -5C IN THE AFTERNOON. THUS WILL LEAN TOWARD THE COOLER GFS AND KEEP MAX TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 50S RANGE. COLDEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON...THUS FAR...EXPECTED MON NT AS THE SFC HIGH SETS UP JUST WEST OF MIDDLE TN BY 12Z TUES. SHOULD SEE LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S FOR MANY AREAS...WITH PERHAPS MID 20S FOR A FEW OUTLYING AREAS. IN THE EXT FCST...TEMPS BACK INTO THE 60S FOR WED THROUGH FRI AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES. MOISTURE WILL ADVECT ACROSS THE AREA AND BRING A RETURNING CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM WED NT THROUGH FRI. COOL WEATHER EXPECTED AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND BEHIND THE FROPA.
