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Author Topic: Ponderings from an Amateur Model Reader...  (Read 393 times)

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servocrow

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Ponderings from an Amateur Model Reader...
« on: October 13, 2006, 10:53:19 AM »
I was just skimming over models (and I mean skimming...because I'm not savvy enough to read those darn GFS and NAM models yet), and I was noticing a couple of pretty DEEP digs of the jetstream through October 29th...In fact on gets pretty deep into TX (but like I said I just skimmed....)

Soooo...when you more MODEL-SAVVY guys get a chance and you can just look at those patterns, just post your thoughts on it....Especially after this week's early dip.  I just thought the patterns were interesting.

or not....

 :?  :?  :?  :?  :?

Offline Woodvegas

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Ponderings from an Amateur Model Reader...
« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2006, 08:49:01 PM »
There is some model evidence that there will be a mean trough in the east beginning around the 20th which would indicate cooler temps the latter part of October.

The CPC seems to be on board with this idea...links are time sensitive
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

Offline Thundersnow

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Ponderings from an Amateur Model Reader...
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2006, 03:49:13 PM »
Today's 8-14 day map indicates colder than normal conditions 10/24-10/30.

Quote


8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR OCT 24 - 30 2006:  FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD... THE GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS ADVANCE THE 500 HPA TROUGH THAT WAS DOMINANT IN THE 6-10 PERIOD PROGRESSES FURTHER EAST OVER QUEBEC.  THIS WILL CAUSE LOWER HEIGHTS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES OVER THE EATERN AND CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CONUS.

Offline Thundersnow

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Ponderings from an Amateur Model Reader...
« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2006, 10:21:56 AM »
It does look like another dip in temperatures early next week.  The NWS is forecasting highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s next Monday and Tuesday.

 

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