Severe Weekend? OHX Thinks So

[Charles L.]

This is the first time in a while OHX has actually put the text "Severe T'storms" in the 7 day track. And from the looks of it, we could be quite unstable Saturday and have a round of severe storms move in causing hail and damaging winds. I assume we also have a slight tornado risk with the remnants of Hermine passing close by, nothing more than 2% though.

The SPC only has a SEE TEXT alert in place, but they said by tomorrow it could be upgraded to slight across parts of the mid south and TN Valley.

[CT_Yankee]

 


 

Ok I'm awake....did somebody say severe?    If not, just wake me up when the weather gets interesting around here again.

[toastido]

HUN had mentioned the possibility of "limited SVR" in their early AM update, but have since ditched any mention of severe for this front altogether. Not saying it won't happen, but the shear is weak at best, and there won't be too much instability around. 

Still time for things to change.

[Charles L.]

From morning AFD...

WARM SECTOR TNGT W/SCT SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS. COLD FRONT WL
MOVE INTO MID TN ON SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
GFS IS MORE UNSTABLE WITH CAPES TO 3000 J/KG AND LI TO -10 IN THE
AFTERNOON. SHEAR/CLOUD COVER MAY BE LIMITING FACTORS. ISO SEVERE
STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

Both the NAM and GFS keep the shear profiles down below 30 kts. The NAM does put some 40-45 kts in eastern KY for Saturday afternoon and evening. I may need to keep my eyes to the sky at the WKU @ Kentucky game.

[luv4tn]

I don't need any kind of interesting weather tomorrow, when I fly into BNA ... yes ... "he's coming back" ... 

[StormNine]

From morning AFD...

Both the NAM and GFS keep the shear profiles down below 30 kts. The NAM does put some 40-45 kts in eastern KY for Saturday afternoon and evening. I may need to keep my eyes to the sky at the WKU @ Kentucky game.

It's been awhile I believe since Kentucky has played in the rain, they could get a good opportunity tomorrow. 

[T_N_T]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TNC021-037-187-112015-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0325.100911T1930Z-100911T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
230 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CHEATHAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PEGRAM...OR 11 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF ASHLAND CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BELLE MEADE BY 245 PM CDT...
  FOREST HILLS BY 250 PM CDT...
  NASHVILLE AND OAK HILL BY 255 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3622 8658 3592 8662 3605 8713 3624 8704
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 272DEG 22KT 3614 8697

$$

07

[dwagner88]

MRX put us under a flash flood warning for 0.20 inches of rain. That is very unlike them.

[Charles L.]

Nice squall line ran through eastern KY yesterday, put out blanket warnings for it and it brought 50-55 mph winds were I was. Rain did move out before the game...so you can imagine how that turned out for my Hilltoppers.