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hurricane watches all the way from nc to mass.recent models bringing it a little too close to the coast for comfort... and we're cat 4 again btw.
000WTNT32 KNHC 012051TCPAT2BULLETINHURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 30NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010500 PM EDT WED SEP 01 2010...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THEMID-ATLANTIC COAST...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARDTHROUGH MASSACHUSETTS...SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...26.3N 73.3WABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF GREAT ABACO ISLANDABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HRPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HRMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTHCAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDINGDELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTHOF NEW POINT COMFORT.A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACHMASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TOWOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLANDSOUND.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACHTO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTHCAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLESOUNDS.A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPENDELAWARE.* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHASVINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.* FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEWJERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THECHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDINGBLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVERMASSACHUSETTS.A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OFTROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDEPREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFEAND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURSBEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCEWINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT ORDANGEROUS.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULDMONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BYYOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST. EARL ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS MOTION ISEXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ONTHURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILLAPPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS AGAIN A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANEON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS ININTENSITY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENINGTREND IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER. EARL IS STILL A LARGE HURRICANE AND GROWING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDSEXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...ANDTROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCERECONNAISSANCE PLANE A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTHCAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITHHURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCURRING BY LATE THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORMFORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TONEW JERSEY BY EARLY FRIDAY.STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY ASMUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNINGAREA. ELSEWHERE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGAREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES.RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATEDMAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERNNORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMASAND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THESESWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIPCURRENTS.NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.$$FORECASTER AVILA
