2/20-22 Snow Chances

[WFayetteTN]

kmem afd:

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A RETURN OF DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WELL
BELOW NORMAL. THIS DRY AND CHILLY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY...SURFACE HIGH SHOULD MOVE EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BRINGING SOUTH WINDS AND INCREASED MOISTURE
TO THE REGION. BY THURSDAY NIGHT...A NEW STORMS SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW THURSDAY
NIGHT AND A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR NEXT FRIDAY.

I know it is a bit early, but is this one even worth looking at?

[Woodvegas]

Not too sure about this one but the 2/13 0Z ECMWF shows a big dog coming out of the Gulf next Saturday.

[Curt]

More from MEG

LONG RANGE...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...00Z LONG RANGE MODELS
INDICATE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PINWHEELS ACROSS QUEBEC PRODUCING PERSISTENT NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE LONG
RANGE PERIOD. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID
SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF WINTER
PRECIPITATION BACK TO THE FORECAST AREA. A CONTINUATION OF BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED.

[Mathman]

Looks like the hits just keep comin'... I don't remember ever seeing this many winter threats in a season (real or not). 

[WFayetteTN]

i guess we'll get through Monday, and this one will be the next focus. If they were all coming from the same place, I'd say these are training systems...
They say to be careful what you wish for, but I (think) i'll be happy when we break out of this winter storm pattern. Could I please get a couple weeks of detox before we roll into severe storm season? 

[dwagner88]

I can't handle this. Too much going on at once. Let me try to get through sunday and monday, and then maybe I can look towards Friday. This has been a crazy winter, that's for sure.

[snowdog]

12z Euro today looks ummm interesting for this event.   

[shooting70]

Bugalou,have you looked at the euro?Man,its a nice storm.maybe trying to phase bigtime,but not totally sure.It would be nice to see one more opportunity while the cold air is still here for time being.

[Tom23]

Guys/Gals, enlighten me on this potential storm... Is East TN in the game for this one???

[shooting70]

Tom,it looks like a nice storm so far,but we got many days to watch and root for a nicehit for us. Its too early to get into specifics on who receives anything and who dont.Thats all i can tell you.

[Tom23]

Tom,it looks like a nice storm so far,but we got many days to watch and root for a nicehit for us. Its too early to get into specifics on who receives anything and who dont.Thats all i can tell you.

Good, I know that there is still time for a letdown, or a blizzard  .... But its always good to know the basics up front.. Will this one come from the Gulf, or will it be another clipper??

[shooting70]

Tom,it looks like a pretty good gulf low.Depends where it tracks.Thats always the key and how much cold air will be avaliable. I found it quite interesting to say the least.

[Tom23]

Yepp. I still am hoping for at least 6-10 inches for my area, since the biggest so far for me was a 4 inch slushy accumulation. A couple of 1-2 inches from other snows, but none significant other than the slush.

[Kevin]

Way too far out to make an educated guess yet...

But watch this one closely...very closely...

[Tom23]

I'm ready for this one to be watched after the upcoming event. I hate the fact that there will be a week of suspense/letdowns, but I'll take the end result if it comes to be a good event.