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Author Topic: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat  (Read 21854 times)

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Offline Woodvegas

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #30 on: February 07, 2010, 10:13:13 PM »
2/8 0Z GFS shows snow for southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, southern Georgia, and maybe Florida....sickening and unnatural.
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Offline keithinala

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #31 on: February 07, 2010, 10:14:44 PM »
Quote from: Woodvegas on February 07, 2010, 10:13:13 PM
2/8 0Z GFS shows snow for southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, southern Georgia, and maybe Florida....sickening and unnatural.
I think it will trend to the north some....how much is the question.
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Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North. -THOMAS WOLFE

Offline Yazoo63

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #32 on: February 07, 2010, 10:16:04 PM »
00z GFS stinks for middle TN.   >:(

Was hoping to see at least a little bit of a northward trend on this run.  Oh well, there's still plenty of time.
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Offline keithinala

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #33 on: February 07, 2010, 10:18:06 PM »
Quote from: Yazoo63 on February 07, 2010, 10:16:04 PM
00z GFS stinks for middle TN.   >:(

Was hoping to see at least a little bit of a northward trend on this run.  Oh well, there's still plenty of time.
Check the 18Z out...this is actually in the right direction.
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Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North. -THOMAS WOLFE

Offline snowdog

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #34 on: February 07, 2010, 10:28:16 PM »
What is making the low take such a southern track?  Its not a like there is a huge dome of cold air sitting over us.  We are cold but not that cold that the low would track through Tampa. 
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Offline keithinala

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #35 on: February 07, 2010, 10:39:33 PM »
Quote from: snowdog on February 07, 2010, 10:28:16 PM
What is making the low take such a southern track?  Its not a like there is a huge dome of cold air sitting over us.  We are cold but not that cold that the low would track through Tampa. 
The HPC tends to think it will go farther north
Quote
A WAVE IS EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
PERIOD...AND THERE IS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR THE LOW TO TRACK FARTHER
NORTH BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL WATERS.
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Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North. -THOMAS WOLFE

Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #36 on: February 07, 2010, 10:40:48 PM »
it will trend north.
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Offline keithinala

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #37 on: February 07, 2010, 10:53:20 PM »
Quote from: tennessee storm09 on February 07, 2010, 10:40:48 PM
it will trend north.
0Z has almost 5 inches of all snow for Birmingham for goodness sakes!
http://66.70.209.226/weather/snow/kbhm.txt

almost 6 inches for Montgomery
http://66.70.209.226/weather/snow/kmgm.txt
« Last Edit: February 07, 2010, 11:00:34 PM by keithinala »
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Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North. -THOMAS WOLFE

Offline snowdog

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #38 on: February 08, 2010, 07:19:41 AM »
0z Euro was a biiiiit south...lol...if you count Miami as being south and snow in Mobile.   ::bagoverhead::
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servocrow

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #39 on: February 08, 2010, 08:17:43 AM »
I wonder what it will do for the weather in Daytona...I bet a race has rarely been called because of adverse winter conditions..   ::pondering::
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Offline Eric

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #40 on: February 08, 2010, 08:31:05 AM »
If it's any indication, while watching the News 2 weather last night, Brother Davis did mention the possibility of "another winter storm" Friday.  He said, and I paraphrase, "The long range models show a significant storm system passing to our south.  That will have to be watched, though.  My old meteorological professors said those lows shunted that far south on long range models tend to jump back northward."  I guess we'll have to wait and see.   ::shrug::
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Offline snowdog

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #41 on: February 08, 2010, 08:33:17 AM »
Quote from: Eric on February 08, 2010, 08:31:05 AM
If it's any indication, while watching the News 2 weather last night, Brother Davis did mention the possibility of "another winter storm" Friday.  He said, and I paraphrase, "The long range models show a significant storm system passing to our south.  That will have to be watched, though.  My old meteorological professors said those lows shunted that far south on long range models tend to jump back northward."  I guess we'll have to wait and see.   ::shrug::

I think it comes back north as well.  But it is concerning that the Euro is THAT far south. 
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Offline Eric

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #42 on: February 08, 2010, 08:34:52 AM »
Quote from: snowdog on February 08, 2010, 08:33:17 AM
I think it comes back north as well.  But it is concerning that the Euro is THAT far south. 

And I'm not buying snow for Mobile, either.
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Mississippi State B.S. Geosciences/Operational Meteorology student

Nowcaster for Rutherford Co., Tennessee (@RuthSevereWx)

KJ4IXE

"I'm not going to get my head shot off in some far away land because you don't habla, comprende?"

"Sargeant, you get that contraband stogie out of my face before I shove it so far up your *** you'll have to set fire to your nose to light it."
                             - GSgt. Highway, "Heartbreak Ridge"

Offline Eric

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #43 on: February 08, 2010, 10:09:30 AM »
12z GFS is out to 96....and this thing is absolutely on crack.  

Hour 96...


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Mississippi State B.S. Geosciences/Operational Meteorology student

Nowcaster for Rutherford Co., Tennessee (@RuthSevereWx)

KJ4IXE

"I'm not going to get my head shot off in some far away land because you don't habla, comprende?"

"Sargeant, you get that contraband stogie out of my face before I shove it so far up your *** you'll have to set fire to your nose to light it."
                             - GSgt. Highway, "Heartbreak Ridge"

Offline Yazoo63

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Re: 2/12-13 Winter Weather Threat
« Reply #44 on: February 08, 2010, 10:09:43 AM »
Quote from: Eric on February 08, 2010, 08:34:52 AM
And I'm not buying snow for Mobile, either.

12z GFS run says that TN gets hosed.  Guess we'll have to go SOUTH to see snow this time.  ::bangingheadintowall::

Unless there's a drastic change in the models, it looks like "no soup for us".  ::shaking_finger::
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