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LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)...SFC LOW PRES WRAPS A COLD FRONT INTO MID TN FRI NIGHT-SAT WITHLINGERING MOISTURE/SNOW SHOWERS. A COLD WEEKEND. ANOTHER LOW PRESSYS MOVES INTO THE AREA MON-TUE. THE AIR IS COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOWBUT WL CONTINUE WITH A RAIN/SNOW CHANCE.
AFTER ANOTHER BRIEF RECOVERY AND WARM ADVECTION PERIOD OCCURS ONMONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER PERIOD OF BLO AVG TEMPS THRU MUCH OF NEXTWEEK. A RATHER VIGOROUS ARCTIC COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE MONDAYBRINGING A ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL IN THE WARMADVECTION ZONE FOLLOWED BY A MIX WITH SOME -SN PSBL AFT FROPA MONNGT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BRIEFLY INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND SUNDAYNIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH CONTINUED BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THENORTHWEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THEFRONT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH HELPING TO DRAW GULF OF MEXICOMOISTURE NORTHWARD. DIFFERENCES EXIST AMONG THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELGUIDANCE WITH REGARD TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. THE LATESTGFS IS TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH THE ECMWFTRACKING THE LOW ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS WILLHAVE IMPLICATIONS ON PRECIPITATION TYPES AND DEGREE OF ARCTIC AIRDRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THERE IS SOMEPOTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER WINTER STORM ACROSS THE MID SOUTH...BUT ITIS STILL WAY TOO SOON TO PINPOINT THE DETAILS...AS THE STORM ISSTILL BEYOND THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD. SIMPLY SOMETHING TOWATCH OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
IF this system does come in, I'd like for the rain/snow line to be waaaaayyyyy to the South, because before the event, I was supposed to get 8 inches, even from the NWS/NOAA.gov sites. However, the snow started mixing early on, and it just never matieralized. Of course, we got about 3.5-4 inches, but come on....
Yep.....just like here in Chatt we were suppose to get rain. Then we got 5 inches.
Awful big talk for a system nearly a week out, but then again Mr. Nolan always likes to talk snow. It will be interesting to see how this develops, it reminds me of a storm we had not to long ago but for the life of me I just cant remember which one . Looks like a lot of cold air after it passes will be dumped in here, so who knows what may happen during the time frame following "the next potential big storm."
Honestly, this has the "classic" Mid-South winter storm look to it so POTENTIAL is there. Bottom line- something to watch, not obsess about yet.
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Topic: Winter threat around Feb. 8-9 (Read 52513 times)
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