More winter weather around Feb.5-6?

[Sbeagles]

Oh man here we go again. . . This last system wore me out I need a breather!!

[Eric]

Personally, I will NOT offer up ANY opinions on this thing until Thursday.  If it's still around by then...fine.  My batteries are in desperate need of recharging.   

[keithinala]

I don't think you can have frz rain if the surface temps are above freezing

Official temps taken 2 m up may be at 33 for example, but temps just above, say trees and power lines can be freezing or below.

[keithinala]

If the 850 temps were below 32 degrees, wouldn't that be a freezing rain event???

It could be snow or sleet if it is falling frozen from that level. I've seen some good accumulating snow with the surface temp in the md 30's.

[SnowSeek]

The great thing about having the storm this weekend is that we have ignored this the further out threats and we haven't had to invest the time following the new potential.  I get exhausted when following something 10 days out vs 5 days out.

[jmundie]

This next system looks too warm. But it sure is a great track huh?

From what I've been watching yesterday and today, there seems to be a lot of uncertainty in the models. I think its still trying to digest our last storm, getting it out of the way.

I'm with Eric, I'll start ringing the bell on Wednesday or Thursday if the potential still exists. And if the Euro doesn't show it happening, I'm probably not gonna bite.

[Coach B]

It's much easier to take a break from model watching when you've had 5" of snow and a beautiful glaze in the trees.  It's stunning outside this aft with the sun on the ice/snow.

[Extremewxlover]

Hoe did the temperatures find themselves 10 degrees above what was previoulsy forecasted?

[jmundie]

NWS probably undercut mos today due to snowcover, and it didn't have as big of an effect as they thought.

[ST1]

According to the "snow depth" on the latest GFS run from Twister Data, it appears that Middle TN could see a few inches. The same goes for East Tennessee but it looks like some areas could see 6+ inches. Now I know this is quite a ways out plus I'm not too sure how accurate this product is but it's inersting none the less.

[Extremewxlover]

what happened yesterday morning, when it said  that could not enter the website

[msdawg911]

what happened yesterday morning, when it said  that could not enter the website

Check out this thread: http://tennesseewx.com/index.php/topic,2390.msg73161

[Susan in Macon]

I saw on NWS that we have a chance of snow/sleet this coming weekend.  I normally get my forcasts from them and here... so how accurate is NWS on their forecast that far out?  I'm only asking because we are suppose to get our girl scout cookies delivered that day.  Two years ago, it was a tornado that kept us from getting our cookies on that day.

[jmundie]

The nam is starting to peak my interest. We could have a dynamicly cooled event this weekend. And it will likely be a surprise cause the models aren't great at figuring that stuff out.

[Crockett]

The nam is starting to peak my interest. We could have a dynamicly cooled event this weekend. And it will likely be a surprise cause the models aren't great at figuring that stuff out.

I've yet to delve into this one too seriously, but I did glance at the 0z runs this morning and dynamic cooling were the first words that came to my mind, too.