12/19-12/21 Weekend Snow?

[Woodvegas]

The 12/10 12Z Euro and 18Z GFS appear to show a near miss. We just need the cold air to arrive a little quicker and/or the low coming up from the south to slow down and strengthen. I think this is an improvement over yesterday's model runs but will the trend continue? I am interested to see what the 12/11 0Z runs show. The models do not seem to have locked in on a solution yet and there is a fair amount of run to run variability especially in the long range.

[Crockett]

I still think this one could prove to be interesting for us...

[Cameron K.]

I still think this one could prove to be interesting for us...

Certianly better than previous runs, though I'm investing much stock in it yet.. I would expect a H system to drop out of Canada a lot deeper than the GFS is showing. That's a lot of cold air to just stay bottled up at the border. We'll see I guess. There's still over a 100hrs to work it out bit. 

[Woodvegas]

12/11 0Z classic GFS shows more precip but the cold air is of course late to arrive. There are significant differences between the classic GFS and the para GFS which in addition to the run to run variability tells me the models are struggling with this pattern.

[Thundersnow]

There are significant differences between the classic GFS and the para GFS

It will be interesting to know which one has a better track record in the long run.

I would hope the para, since that is the new version.

[Crockett]

Oops...I was talking about the 12/21 system being interesting rather than the 12/16 system.

[Woodvegas]

12/11 12Z GFS and Euro show rain followed by cold.

[Cameron K.]

Just got off the phone with the 0z GFS: nothing interesting uphead for now. 

[Thundersnow]

The wonderful wizard of 0z.   

[Nashville_wx]

Just got off the phone with the 0z GFS: nothing interesting uphead for now. 

I actually like the look of the 00Z run.

[WeatherRocker]

The wonderful wizard of 0z.  

[rookie]

I actually like the look of the 00Z run.

Do share.......

[Woodvegas]

12/12 12Z models runs say stick a fork in it for Tues-Weds. However, the Euro shows something may be brewing for next weekend.

[Cameron K.]

I actually like the look of the 00Z run.

Before voodoo land I didn't see too much. Course news runs might be different. Haven't checked them yet.

[Eric]

OHX AFD:

CHANGES SET FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
SFC/LL LOW MOVES ACROSS FL LATE FRI...WHICH WILL BRING A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...POLAR
JET WILL DIG OUT AN UL LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES...WHICH WILL SPIN
SERIES OF DEEP TROUGH AXES/STRONG IMPULSES DOWN ACROSS THE MID-
SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH COOL DOWN BEHIND FRONT AND POOLS OF
MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE IN BASE...FLURRIES / LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

At least it's somethin'.........