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Author Topic: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!  (Read 3308 times)

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Offline Nashville_wx

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #45 on: November 22, 2009, 08:22:45 PM »
Which -0C line are you talking about? Are you thinking of 850mb or 2mT? Past 4-5Day I really do not even take account the forecast 2mT line. 850mb and 1000/500 maps are better representations.


Offline Clay

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #46 on: November 22, 2009, 08:32:26 PM »
For accumulation forecasts, I watch the 2mT line as snow doesn't really start sticking until surface temps are below freezing
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Offline tennessee storm09

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #47 on: November 22, 2009, 08:50:18 PM »
thinks for clearing that up for me  yall, i guess i was paying to much attention to the 0 line. i am much better at reading models on severe weather setups. these winter weather models are more confusing to read to me when i look for winter storms.

Offline Crockett

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #48 on: November 22, 2009, 09:48:25 PM »
For accumulation forecasts, I watch the 2mT line as snow doesn't really start sticking until surface temps are below freezing

I agree, but it also depends on the snowfall rate. I've seen some really nice snows here on the Plateau with the temp between 34-36 degrees.

Offline rhea weather

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #49 on: November 22, 2009, 10:26:31 PM »
Looks close but thickness do not indicated snow... We have to keep a eye out on that period.


Was just noting the trend... Gulf LOWS

Offline rhea weather

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Re: Snowflakes as soon as Thanksgiving week!?!?!
« Reply #50 on: November 22, 2009, 10:29:36 PM »
MORRISTOWN 3PM AFD:     ::snowman:: ::snowman:: ::cold::
Quote
.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...LOW PRESSURE
ASSOCIATED WITH CURRENT SYSTEM IS SHOWN TO BE ALONG NC COAST BY
MONDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION WRAPPING AROUND IT TO THE
NW INTO SW VA AND EXTREME NE TN. SO CONTINUED A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE
AND RAIN SHOWERS EXTREME NE. TUESDAY HIGHER PRESSURE AND RIDGING
ALOFT WILL KEEP AREA DRY BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY KEEP CLOUDS IN
MOST OF THE DAY. HAVE PARTLY SUNNY WORDING FOR NOW. MODELS BRING
WEAK IMPULSE FROM THE NW THROUGH FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS. THEN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
UPPER TROUGH DIGS SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES WITH
MUCH COLDER AIR AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS STARTING DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AND INCREASING THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. VALLEY AREAS MAY GET SOME SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING BUT THE GROUND MAY BE TOO WARM FOR ANY ACCUMULATION WITH HIGHS WEDNESDAY IN THE 50S AND 60S. THIS SYSTEM MOVES OUT FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN FOR THE WEEKEND ALTHOUGH SATURDAY WILL BE STILL COOL IN THE NORTHEAST AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH POSSIBLE SNOW COVER LEFT OVER
« Last Edit: November 22, 2009, 10:31:08 PM by rhea weather »

 

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