Where are the cold temperatures

[CookevilleWeatherGuy]

Folks are talking about the warm November and I just wanted to check the facts and here is what I found. The numbers below represent where we are versus the average temperature thus far in November

Nashville +1.5°
Cookeville -0.3°
Dickson +2.5°
Dover +2.7°
Franklin +1.5°
Springfield +2.1°
Shelbyville +1.1°

Sure doesn't show that we are having a particularly warm month. Now, if you compare it to Aug/Sept/Oct, it does seem much warmer, because those months were below average in temps and above average in precip.

The daytime highs, for November, are averaging a little higher than typical, but night time lows are either spot on the average or slightly below. None of this portends a particularly poor winter for snow or a great winter for snow.

Just thought ya'll would enjoy some facts!

[Curt]

Folks are talking about the warm November and I just wanted to check the facts and here is what I found. The numbers below represent where we are versus the average temperature thus far in November

Nashville +1.5°
Cookeville -0.3°
Dickson +2.5°
Dover +2.7°
Franklin +1.5°
Springfield +2.1°
Shelbyville +1.1°

Sure doesn't show that we are having a particularly warm month. Now, if you compare it to Aug/Sept/Oct, it does seem much warmer, because those months were below average in temps and above average in precip.

The daytime highs, for November, are averaging a little higher than typical, but night time lows are either spot on the average or slightly below. None of this portends a particularly poor winter for snow or a great winter for snow.

Just thought ya'll would enjoy some facts!

Interesting stuff here Mike, thanks for posting. From about Jackson westward into Arkansas though, there is a marked increase in above normal temps. KMEM is almost 4 degrees above normal for the month and places in Arkansas are nearly 4-5 degrees above. I am willling to believe that November may come in a bit above normal in the long run, but not this much given the cooler week ahead and possible colder temps in the long range.

[Thundersnow]

It might be interesting if someone took the time to dig up the records and show a side-by-side list of the top snowiest winters next to the departure from normal of the previous November, temperature-wise.

I remember some cold Novembers followed by blow-torched winters.  So, November doesn't tell you everything about what the winter will be like.

[StormNine]

These are the top 31 warmest Novembers from Warmest to Coldest in Nashville.  All these have at least a +2.0 departure from normal. I used these for a correlation thing for one of my classes.
1909,1931,1985,1902,1973,1994,1946
,2001,1990,1999,1913,1927,1978,2004,1896,
2003,1908.1934,1915,1942,
1899,1921,1987,1998,1975,1879,
1965,1896,1958,1964,2006

Some El Nino events that stick out of this list are:  2004-05, 1987-88, 1965-66, 1994-95, 2006-07

Nashville TN Snow
2004-05- Trace (one winter storm around 22nd-23rd period)
1987-88- 10.0
1965-66- 11.4
1994-95- 2.9 (this and 06-07 are very alike for this area)
2006-07- 2.2 (this and 94-95 are pretty alike for this area)

Hopkinsville KY Snow
2004-05- 3.0
1987-88- 8.5
1965-66- 6.5
1994-95- 1.5
2006-07- 5.5

November 2002 started out warm but than changed to a more colder pattern earlier to keep that month from being warm.