Winter is about to start

[Nashville_wx]

Moisture seems to be pretty limited and @ 500mb looks less amplified. Not a huge change but the clipper clearly is not as organized. This could be due to the western ridge being a bit more amplified.

[Nashville_wx]

Here is our next historic storm. Too bad it is 10 days out but the general pattern at 500mb is what counts. Another look another run.

[kailynleto | Nightwolf]

That looks like a snow-to-sleet-to-ice-to-rain-to-mix-to-snow scenario to me, not a bona fide snow system

[tennessee storm09]

just what i was thinking, but its close. i say a rain to wet snow. but boy its still looks interesting to me. i think the models will still trend back to colder too.

[Nashville_wx]

That looks like a snow-to-sleet-to-ice-to-rain-to-mix-to-snow scenario to me, not a bona fide snow system

Hard to say until I see the soundings. This would be major winter storm tho. That is given the GFS were to verify at that range.     

[tennessee storm09]

i agree, that is a major winter storm there to say the least. sounding of that will be interesting. if that were to verify. some soret of travel plans could be hampered for xmas some way or fsahion

[Nashville_wx]

i agree, that is a major winter storm there to say the least. sounding of that will be interesting. if that were to verify. some soret of travel plans could be hampered for xmas some way or fsahion

Yes it would cause havok in these parts. Not that I like that

[tennessee storm09]

man what amazes me is the precip, it goes pplum back to the four corners nearly. this could be very interesting. i say heading into january is going to be a fun wild ride to say the least.

[Nashville_wx]

[tennessee storm09]

nashville_weather i really appreciate the pics of the models u show. i enjoy looking at them. i like the way u make the pics large too. more i look at thes sytem, it looks very iinteresting to me. u going to get a pic up for 6z in the morning?  for this time frame

[Nashville_wx]

I am sure the morning crew will take care of it. I usually do not get on before work.

[Nashville_wx]

00Z Euro

[Woodvegas]

00Z Euro

Looks like 1-3 inches, maybe a little more, per this run of the Euro for parts of TN.

[bigalpha]

Another fun picture of snow cover:

[Eric]

Looks like 1-3 inches, maybe a little more, per this run of the Euro for parts of TN.

I wouldn't put too much stock into it....yet.  The Euro is the only model showing something substantive during that timeframe.  The CMC shows nada.  The 06z GFS is 6 hours slower with less precip, but H7 analysis wants to pick up on something at 168 hours - the same timeframe as the posted images of the Euro.  As with any case of snow here in the south, we won't know what's coming till the day of.  Even then it's a crap shoot.