Winter 2009-2010

[Clay]

Oh yes! It's that time again! This time last year the thread was started so I'm going to go ahead and start it for this winter. Perhaps this along with a possibly weak El Nino is a good sign of things to come. We'll see.

[Snowman]

Your a good man clay. Good man!!   

[StormNine]

  El Nino winters could be fun if they aren't strong like 97-98.  Duration, placement, and other factors we don't know are important.

Along with the NAO, PNA, and those little 3 letter soups of winter wx.

[Clay]

And to absolutely NOBODY'S surprise despite model guidance the CPC is predicting a blowtorch winter for 2/3s of the nation. I don't think they have ever forecasted below normal temperatures in their long range forecast in recent years. It's either above or equal chances. Gee I wonder what is responsible for that? 

[StormNine]

the last two winters weren't even torched they finished average maybe a very small bit above average.

05-06 and 06-07 overall were torchy.

[Clay]

Overall we just had bad luck. We had an active storm track and at or below normal temps. We just couldn't get it to click at once. Again, the longer we go without a "big daddy", the more our chances increase. I know we say this every winter but could this be the one?

[Cameron K.]

Overall we just had bad luck. We had an active storm track and at or below normal temps. We just couldn't get it to click at once. Again, the longer we go without a "big daddy", the more our chances increase. I know we say this every winter but could this be the one?

This is very true. There many factors that often affect our winters.

Location: Tn is very borderline between rain/snow so we always rely on that perfect track.

Patterns: There are several weather pattern that are believed to affect our winter's, some are short term seem factual, others are long term and are still in theory.

Timing: Being as far south as we are, timing is and will always be crucial to getting a good snowfall. Since we are usually above freezing during many of our winter days, everything needs to come into play at the right time. That time usually being at night.

We will see another nice snow storm, infact, some of us saw a major snowfall this past winter. With snow, it's almost imposible for us all to be pleased at once. I simply just have a humble heart and thank God for whatever I do get.

[snowdog]

I'm still hurting from missing the big one last late winter.  It sucked seeing Memphis get around a foot and pretty much nothing here in Nashville.  Saying Nashville is due is like saying the Kansas City Royals or LA Clippers are due for a title. 

[kailynleto | Nightwolf]

06-07 was torchy?

Thundersnow in South Carolina, flurries in Florida, the coldest Feb. in two decades, and snow in April...that doesn't fit my definition of torchy.  05-06, though, I agree.  That was a sobber for sure.

[StormNine]

 Some parts of 06-07 were torchy esp. March and Late Dec/into the first two-thirds of Jan.  Of course a major ice storm occurred from South Texas to Illinois to at that time as well.

Feb was a cold and eventful one and who can forget the big freeze after the big March torch. 

I should of probably said parts of 06-07 were torchy instead of as a whole it was.

  El Ninos can be very fun as usually there are several nor easter systems that could clip us, and an active subtropical jet, and if a cold snap like the one we are feeling now can come on down fun things could happen.

[Thundersnow]

All I know is that it's been quite a long time since Nashville has received double digits for total snowfall inches in a season.

[StormNine]

All I know is that it's been quite a long time since Nashville has received double digits for total snowfall inches in a season.

What makes it worse to is that in the past several winters pretty much everybody except Nashville has gotten into some of the action.

[Curt]

What makes it worse to is that in the past several winters pretty much everybody except Nashville has gotten into some of the action.

Nashville is undergoing what Memphis had for several years...a snow shield. Actually if you look at the stats for Memphis International, it is still quite a dim picture, with over 20 years of below normal snowfall. Most areas in the metro have at least surpassed normal a few times since then. It just happened to be the way the ball bounced, and hopefully it will bounce in all of our backyards this winter!

[dwagner88]

Well I am going to go out on a limb and predict that KCHA will see one event totalling around 2 inches of accumulation. That, sadly, would be an improvement on last winter. I am actually a little more concerned about the potential for ice storms. We are more overdue for a major ice storm than we are for a major snow storm. Neither have happened in  at least 14 years here.

[Clay]

What makes it worse to is that in the past several winters pretty much everybody except Nashville has gotten into some of the action.

Actually we're not alone. Knoxville has also had little action in the last few years. Another thing to note is that the winter of 07-08 yeilded much more snowfall for West Nashville, than the Eastern part of the city. The March 2008 snowstorm scraped Nashville and I-65 was the west/east cutoff line. I remember Bellevue (SW Nashville) got 5", I got 4" (South Central), and the airport got less than 1" (Southeast).